MIN @ MIA prediction, stats & betting trends

MIN49-33

MIA43-39

Wed, Oct 21, 7:30 PM ET

stats from the 2025-26 regular season

Team comparison

Each line runs from the worst team to the best. Hover a stat to see what it means.

StatMIN← worsebetter →MIA

#1059.8%52.4%#17

#10+3.1+2.2#13

#12116.8116.7#13

#8113.7114.5#11

#7118.0120.9#2

#11114.6118.5#22

#12232.6239.4#2

#9100.5103.4#1

#656.0%54.2%#18

#1712.9%11.6%#4

#1525.6%25.1%#17

#110.2170.214#15

#1513.0%12.7%#17

#1642.0%40.7%#17

Market · 7 available

Projected

236.0

Likely range

215 to 257

164total points309

Total points line (over / under)Enter the sportsbook’s total. We estimate the chance the game goes over or under.

▲ Over

49%

fair odds +104

▼ Under

51%

fair odds −104

We mix each team’s scoring with what the other team allows. This is an estimate, not betting advice.

MIN · last 15 · game total points

over 236.5 in 4 of 15

OKCPHXUTAPORBOSHOUDETDALDETPHICHAINDORLHOUNOP

MIA · last 15 · game total points

over 236.5 in 12 of 15

ORLCHALALHOUSASCLECLEINDPHIBOSWASTORTORWASATL

Points allowed by position

per game · #1 gives up the least

Defense	vs Guards	vs Forwards	vs Centers
MIN	57.2 #14	42.7 #17	17.6 #16
MIA	59.9 #24	42.7 #17	17.4 #12

Player props for this game

Stats for every player in this gameUnlock with Pro

Good to know · MIN @ MIA

Facts about these two teams only

H2H2–0

MIN won 2 of 2 games in 2025-26. Since 2015 MIN leads 15–7.

Total228.0

Average points in their 2025-26 games. That is lower than both teams’ usual games (232.6 MIN, 239.4 MIA).